Donald Trump Polling Strong Against Biden In Swing States

Former President Donald Trump may be in lots of legal hot water thanks to his federal indictment by Joe Bidenโ€™s Justice Department, but he got some good news in the form of a major survey this week.

Trump is leading his likely Democratic rival in several swing states, according to polling data from Echelon Insights.

The survey โ€œfound that 48% of respondents in swing states would probably or definitely vote for Trump, compared to just 41% for Biden. Though Biden is narrowly favored overall by likely voters, with 43% favoring him compared to 42% for Trump, the Republican front-runner could win 270 Electoral College votes by seizing the swing states,โ€ the Washington Examiner reported.

Additionally, when considering the challenger Cornel West from the Green Party, Bidenโ€™s grip on the overall vote is also not guaranteed. The poll reveals that West has the potential to attract a substantial portion of Bidenโ€™s liberal voters, potentially enough to tilt the majority of the ballot in favor of Trump.

โ€œWhen taking West into consideration, Bidenโ€™s share of the vote drops to 42%, with West taking 4% of the vote. Trump emerges triumphant with 43% of the vote,โ€ the Examiner added. โ€œTrumpโ€™s lead in swing states is further solidified when West is involved as well. Trumpโ€™s share remains at 48%, while Bidenโ€™s drops to 40%.โ€

West can play a decisive role in the overall outcome of next yearโ€™s race if he decides to stay in as a third-party candidate.

โ€œThere is always a danger a third-party candidate can impact the Electoral College results, particularly if they receive enough votes in a battleground state or states to change the outcome,โ€ University of Akron (Ohio) political science Prof. David B. Cohen told Newsweek. โ€œIn a close election, Cornel West could well be a spoiler.โ€

He noted further: โ€œThere is no evidence to suggest that the 2024 election will be anything but a very close election decided by razor-thin margins, which means that a third-party candidate could have an outsized influence in the result.โ€

The Examiner noted further:

Bidenโ€™s fortunes would be even worse if artist Taylor Swift decided to run as an independent candidate, with the poll finding that she would win 7% of the vote, mostly poaching votes off Biden. Her entrance into the race would send Bidenโ€™s share of the vote in swing states down to 38%. In that case, Trump would take 43% of the overall vote, compared to Bidenโ€™s 41%.

Furthering the good news for Trump in the poll, it also found that the former president would perform better than Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), his primary Republican competitor, in a general election against Biden. In an election between DeSantis and Biden, the incumbent would receive 45% of the vote, compared to DeSantisโ€™s 42%. He is just 1 percentage point ahead in swing states, with 44% compared to Bidenโ€™s 43%.

Trump appears to be outpolling Biden in recent months. In May, for instance, an ABC/Washington Post survey showed him with a whopping 7-point lead over Biden, Mediaite reported.

โ€œAccording to the survey, the president trails his predecessor by 7 points in a hypothetical 2024 general election matchup. Respondents were asked whether they would โ€˜definitelyโ€™ vote for Trump or Biden, โ€˜probablyโ€™ vote for Trump or Biden, or vote for someone else or not vote at all. Among those who โ€˜definitelyโ€™ prefer one candidate over the other, Trump leads Biden 36-32. But when those โ€˜probablyโ€™ voting are added to the tally, Trumpโ€™s margin balloons to 7 points โ€” as he holds a 45-38 advantage over Biden,โ€ the report said.

And last month, the latest Harvard-Harris poll found a notable surge in support for Trump, suggesting a potential path to victory next year if he secures the GOP nomination. The poll results also indicated that Trump continues to maintain a formidable presence, despite various legal challenges.

That survey also showed Trump with a 7-point lead over Biden.


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